Al Dhafra 1-5 Al Wasl Dubai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 30 Aug 2025

Al Dhafra
1-5 HT 1-1
Al Wasl Dubai
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒16:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
UAE - League Cup – 2025/2026

Al Dhafra vs Al Wasl Dubai Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.34
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
55%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.65
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
15%
3.87
6+ Goals
8%
18.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 34% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
16%
-0.6pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.1pp
55%
Away Win
60%
-5.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.7pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Dhafra v Al Wasl Dubai — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wasl Dubai EU Bookmakers 64%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
0.91/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.86
-56% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -30%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
245 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 80%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
16.0 Crosses 22.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 0.4

Al Dhafra vs Al Wasl Dubai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Dhafra
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Wasl Dubai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.47 xG 2.22
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
210 Passes 435
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.08.2025 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
03.03.2023 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
08.10.2022 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 4-0 HT 2-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
11.05.2022 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
21.11.2021 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
11.05.2021 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE

Al Dhafra 1-5 Al Wasl Dubai — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Dhafra
1-5
AWAY Al Wasl Dubai
0.32 xG 3.30
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 2
208 Passes 460
86% Pass Accuracy 91%
7 Box Touches 23
3 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Dhafra vs Al Wasl Dubai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wasl Dubai cruised past Al Dhafra 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Wasl Dubai as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Dhafra had 39% of the ball to Al Wasl Dubai's 61%, shots finished 5-10, expected goals 0.32 to 3.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wasl Dubai led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Dhafra and 2.00 for Al Wasl Dubai.

What was the final score of Al Dhafra vs Al Wasl Dubai?

Al Dhafra 1-5 Al Wasl Dubai in the UAE - League Cup on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Dhafra vs Al Wasl Dubai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Wasl Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Dhafra 15%, draw 30%, Al Wasl Dubai 55%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Wasl Dubai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Wasl Dubai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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