Al Ain 1-1 Al Ittihad Kalba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 27% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
58%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ain EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.17/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.44
+24% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +39%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
400 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
18.9 Crosses 16.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ain
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.65 xG 0.83
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
459 Passes 234
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.02.2025 Al Ain Al Ain 3-1 HT 3-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
11.12.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 3-3 HT 1-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
07.09.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 3-1 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAELK
18.08.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-3 HT 0-2 Al Ain Al Ain BAELK
16.05.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
03.04.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAECK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ain
1-1
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
1.54 xG 0.72
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
454 Passes 187
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ain vs Al Ittihad Kalba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ain and Al Ittihad Kalba couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Al Ain carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Ain had 67% of the ball to Al Ittihad Kalba's 33%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.54 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ain had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Ain and 1.67 for Al Ittihad Kalba.

What was the final score of Al Ain vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Al Ain 1-1 Al Ittihad Kalba in the UAE - League Cup on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ain vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al Ain 58%, draw 23%, Al Ittihad Kalba 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ain) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ain) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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