Al Ain 3-1 Al Ittihad Kalba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.87
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
23%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
7.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.7pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ain EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 25%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.78/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.25
-51% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +96%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
14.2 Crosses 17.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ain
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.55 xG 1.07
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
460 Passes 244
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-3 HT 0-2 Al Ain Al Ain BAELK
16.05.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
03.04.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAECK
07.03.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAELK
09.02.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAELK
09.12.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-2 HT 2-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ain
3-1
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
1.93 xG 0.75
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
473 Passes 223
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 33
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ain vs Al Ittihad Kalba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ain saw off Al Ittihad Kalba 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ain as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Ain had 66% of the ball to Al Ittihad Kalba's 34%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.93 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad Kalba led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Ain and 1.50 for Al Ittihad Kalba.

What was the final score of Al Ain vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Al Ain 3-1 Al Ittihad Kalba in the UAE - League Cup on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ain vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Ain 48%, draw 25%, Al Ittihad Kalba 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ain), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ain) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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