Al Sharjah 2-1 Khorfakkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.88
6+ Goals
12%
8.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-3.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.0pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sharjah EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 25%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.97/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.52
+10% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 80%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
16.7 Crosses 9.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sharjah
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Khorfakkan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.51 xG 0.71
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
439 Passes 244
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAELK
20.05.2024 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
15.12.2023 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 4-1 HT 2-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
17.02.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
16.12.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAELK
12.12.2022 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 1-0 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAELK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Sharjah
2-1
AWAY Khorfakkan
2.98 xG 1.51
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
265 Passes 348
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
37 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Sharjah vs Khorfakkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sharjah squeezed past Khorfakkan 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Sharjah as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Al Sharjah had 45% of the ball to Khorfakkan's 55%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.98 to 1.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Sharjah's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sharjah had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Sharjah and 0.67 for Khorfakkan.

What was the final score of Al Sharjah vs Khorfakkan?

Al Sharjah 2-1 Khorfakkan in the UAE - League Cup on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sharjah vs Khorfakkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sharjah win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Sharjah 52%, draw 23%, Khorfakkan 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sharjah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Sharjah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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