Al Ittihad Kalba 3-3 Al Ain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 11 Dec 2024

📅11/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
48%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.74
Over 2.5
62%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.02
2-3 Goals
39%
2.04
4-5 Goals
25%
2.42
6+ Goals
15%
5.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
18%
+12.5pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.9pp
48%
Away Win
62%
-14.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
33%
+5.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
67%
-5.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.6pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ain EU Bookmakers 67%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.09/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.17
-15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -1%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
252 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 85%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.5
14.9 Crosses 22.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Ain
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.00 xG 1.63
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
244 Passes 468
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 3-1 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAELK
18.08.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-3 HT 0-2 Al Ain Al Ain BAELK
16.05.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
03.04.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAECK
07.03.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAELK
09.02.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAELK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba
3-3
AWAY Al Ain
0.90 xG 2.72
28% Ball Possession 72%
4 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 12
144 Passes 439
70% Pass Accuracy 89%
6 Box Touches 50
7 Crosses 61
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad Kalba and Al Ain couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ain at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Al Ittihad Kalba had 28% of the ball to Al Ain's 72%, shots finished 4-25, expected goals 0.90 to 2.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Ittihad Kalba and 1.50 for Al Ain.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain?

Al Ittihad Kalba 3-3 Al Ain in the UAE - League on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad Kalba 30%, draw 22%, Al Ain 48%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ain) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ain) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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