Al Ain 3-1 Al Ittihad Kalba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 13 Feb 2025

📅13/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.89
Over 2.5
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.26
2-3 Goals
37%
2.09
4-5 Goals
30%
2.39
6+ Goals
13%
4.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-8.2pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.1pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ain EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 19%
-6% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
2.09/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.84
+3% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
427 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 76%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
25.8 Crosses 15.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ain
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.58 xG 0.90
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
468 Passes 228
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.12.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 3-3 HT 1-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
07.09.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 3-1 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAELK
18.08.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-3 HT 0-2 Al Ain Al Ain BAELK
16.05.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
03.04.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAECK
07.03.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAELK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ain
3-1
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
1.23 xG 0.66
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
449 Passes 277
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ain vs Al Ittihad Kalba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ain saw off Al Ittihad Kalba 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ain as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Al Ain had 59% of the ball to Al Ittihad Kalba's 41%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.23 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad Kalba led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Ain and 1.83 for Al Ittihad Kalba.

What was the final score of Al Ain vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Al Ain 3-1 Al Ittihad Kalba in the UAE - League on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ain vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al Ain 57%, draw 20%, Al Ittihad Kalba 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ain), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ain) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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