Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spartak Varna v Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Team-Based Signals
Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Spartak Varna
BUL1
Spartak Varna 1-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Actual Match Statistics
Lokomotiv Plovdiv squeezed past Spartak Varna 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Lokomotiv Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Spartak Varna had 54% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 46%, shots finished 9-16.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Spartak Varna had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Spartak Varna and 1.33 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
What was the final score of Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Spartak Varna 1-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 26%, draw 20%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.