Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv v Spartak Varna — Team-Based Signals
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Spartak Varna
BUL1
Spartak Varna edged past Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; Spartak Varna found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.00 for Spartak Varna.
What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2 Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 34%, draw 32%, Spartak Varna 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.