Septemvri Sofia 0-4 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+6.9pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.9pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.4pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 49%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.17/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.64
-81% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +51%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Septemvri Sofia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 2-1 HT 2-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Septemvri Sofia
0-4
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali ran out comfortable winners over Septemvri Sofia 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arda Kardzhali as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Septemvri Sofia had 57% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 43%, shots finished 7-16.

What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

Septemvri Sofia 0-4 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 34%, draw 23%, Arda Kardzhali 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arda Kardzhali), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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