CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-3 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+7.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 57%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.38/2.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.55
+55% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +53%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-3 HT 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BULK
28.10.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 HT 2-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
11.04.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
03.03.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-0 HT 1-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
29.02.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-1 HT 1-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BULK
10.02.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-1 HT 1-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BULSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
1-3
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad got the better of CSKA 1948 Sofia 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, CSKA 1948 Sofia had 45% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 55%, shots finished 9-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 2.17 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-3 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 29%, draw 24%, Ludogorets Razgrad 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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