CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-3 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - Cup, 16 Dec 2024

📅16/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
4.48
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
57%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
20%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
57%
Away Win
56%
+1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +49%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 HT 2-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
11.04.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
03.03.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-0 HT 1-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
29.02.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-1 HT 1-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BULK
10.02.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-1 HT 1-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BULSK
28.05.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-2 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
2-3
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad squeezed past CSKA 1948 Sofia 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, CSKA 1948 Sofia had 56% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 44%, shots finished 12-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 2.00 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-3 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - Cup on 16/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 15%, draw 28%, Ludogorets Razgrad 57%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ BTTS Yes
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