Bali United vs Madura United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bali United v Madura United — Team-Based Signals
Bali United vs Madura United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-1
Bali United
ENDL1
0-2
HT 0-1
Bali United
ENDL1
0-1
HT 0-0
Madura United
ENDL1
3-1
HT 2-1
Madura United
ENDL1
Bali United 1-0 Madura United — Actual Match Statistics
Bali United edged past Madura United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Bali United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Bali United had 52% of the ball to Madura United's 48%, shots finished 12-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bali United and 1.17 for Madura United.
What was the final score of Bali United vs Madura United?
Bali United 1-0 Madura United in the Indonesia League 1 on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bali United vs Madura United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bali United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bali United 57%, draw 24%, Madura United 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bali United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.