Reims 1-0 Le Mans FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.89
6+ Goals
10%
17.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 31% vs market 29.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.87
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
12%
4.67
X/2
14%
7.05
X/X
13%
4.22
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
10%
5.44
2/X
6%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.7pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reims EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.98/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/2.10
-14% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +99% / -39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
20.0 Crosses 19.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reims
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Le Mans FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
19.03.2012 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR2
21.10.2011 Reims Reims 1-1 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
15.01.2011 Reims Reims 3-0 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
13.08.2010 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Reims Reims FR2
14.01.2005 Reims Reims 0-1 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
17.08.2004 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reims
1-0
AWAY Le Mans FC
1.19 xG 0.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 4
391 Passes 294
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Reims vs Le Mans FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reims edged past Le Mans FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Reims as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Reims had 56% of the ball to Le Mans FC's 44%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.19 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reims had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Reims and 0.67 for Le Mans FC.

What was the final score of Reims vs Le Mans FC?

Reims 1-0 Le Mans FC in the France - Ligue 2 on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reims vs Le Mans FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reims win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Reims 46%, draw 24%, Le Mans FC 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Reims), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Reims) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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30 Aug 2025
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