Saint-Etienne 1-1 Grenoble — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.74
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.89
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 26% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.78
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.25
X/1
23%
3.9
X/2
4%
12.55
X/X
8%
6.04
2/1
13%
21.5
2/2
7%
10.4
2/X
7%
18.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
63%
+1.9pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.3pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Grenoble EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.67/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.66
+0% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
437 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
19.9 Crosses 13.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint-Etienne
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Grenoble
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.61 xG 0.77
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
412 Passes 243
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
34 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.04.2024 Grenoble Grenoble 0-2 HT 0-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
05.08.2023 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-1 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
17.04.2023 Grenoble Grenoble 0-2 HT 0-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
01.10.2022 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-2 HT 0-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
17.07.2021 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-1 HT 1-1 Grenoble Grenoble HAZ
16.01.2010 Grenoble Grenoble 1-2 HT 1-2 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Etienne
1-1
AWAY Grenoble
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Saint-Etienne vs Grenoble
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Etienne and Grenoble couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Saint-Etienne at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Saint-Etienne had 68% of the ball to Grenoble's 32%, shots finished 19-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saint-Etienne had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Saint-Etienne and 0.83 for Grenoble.

What was the final score of Saint-Etienne vs Grenoble?

Saint-Etienne 1-1 Grenoble in the France - Ligue 2 on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Etienne vs Grenoble?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saint-Etienne win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Saint-Etienne 65%, draw 20%, Grenoble 15%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saint-Etienne) ✗ BTTS No
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