Grenoble 0-2 Saint-Etienne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 23 Apr 2024

📅23/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.82
Over 2.5
38%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.75
No
59%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 33% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.26
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
14%
7.03
X/2
19%
4.53
X/X
13%
4.51
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
2.83
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-4.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
51%
+11.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
49%
-11.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.8pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grenoble EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
1.16/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.40
-29% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
14.5 Crosses 17.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grenoble
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Saint-Etienne
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.73 xG 2.75
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
214 Passes 408
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 38
8 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2023 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-1 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
17.04.2023 Grenoble Grenoble 0-2 HT 0-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
01.10.2022 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-2 HT 0-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
17.07.2021 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-1 HT 1-1 Grenoble Grenoble HAZ
16.01.2010 Grenoble Grenoble 1-2 HT 1-2 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
29.08.2009 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-0 HT 1-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grenoble
0-2
AWAY Saint-Etienne
0.84 xG 2.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
299 Passes 419
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 27
24 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grenoble vs Saint-Etienne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Etienne beat Grenoble 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Saint-Etienne as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Grenoble had 44% of the ball to Saint-Etienne's 56%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.84 to 2.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saint-Etienne led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Grenoble and 1.50 for Saint-Etienne.

What was the final score of Grenoble vs Saint-Etienne?

Grenoble 0-2 Saint-Etienne in the France - Ligue 2 on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grenoble vs Saint-Etienne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saint-Etienne win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Grenoble 31%, draw 28%, Saint-Etienne 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saint-Etienne), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saint-Etienne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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