Bordeaux 2-0 Dunkerque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 23 Apr 2024

📅23/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 31% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.25
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
15%
4.11
X/2
13%
9.35
X/X
16%
4.97
2/1
9%
23.6
2/2
12%
7.1
2/X
6%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
54%
-13.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+10.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.8pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bordeaux EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +28%
1.94/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.50
+16% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
18.1 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bordeaux
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dunkerque
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.82 xG 0.61
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
432 Passes 265
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.12.2023 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-2 HT 0-1 Bordeaux Bordeaux FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bordeaux
2-0
AWAY Dunkerque
1.39 xG 0.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 4
396 Passes 423
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 9
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bordeaux vs Dunkerque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bordeaux beat Dunkerque 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Bordeaux made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Bordeaux had 48% of the ball to Dunkerque's 52%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.39 to 0.40.

What was the final score of Bordeaux vs Dunkerque?

Bordeaux 2-0 Dunkerque in the France - Ligue 2 on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bordeaux vs Dunkerque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bordeaux win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bordeaux 40%, draw 28%, Dunkerque 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bordeaux), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bordeaux) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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