Bastia vs Concarneau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bastia v Concarneau — Team-Based Signals
Bastia vs Concarneau Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Bastia
FR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Concarneau
FR3
1-1
HT 1-1
Bastia
FR3
2-2
HT 1-1
Concarneau
FRK
Bastia 2-0 Concarneau — Actual Match Statistics
Bastia saw off Concarneau 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Bastia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Bastia had 45% of the ball to Concarneau's 55%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 1.99 to 0.25.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bastia and 1.00 for Concarneau.
What was the final score of Bastia vs Concarneau?
Bastia 2-0 Concarneau in the France - Ligue 2 on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bastia vs Concarneau?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Bastia 36%, draw 29%, Concarneau 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.