Guingamp 1-2 Angers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 23 Apr 2024

📅23/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.38
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.04
6+ Goals
9%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.34
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
12%
4.63
X/2
14%
6.11
X/X
11%
3.77
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
15%
4.93
2/X
12%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Angers EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
1.30/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.42
+20% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
21.3 Crosses 18.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Angers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.22 xG 1.06
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 Passes 362
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.12.2023 Angers Angers 1-0 HT 1-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
23.02.2019 Guingamp Guingamp 1-0 HT 0-0 Angers Angers FR1
31.10.2018 Guingamp Guingamp 0-0 HT 0-0 Angers Angers FRLK
29.09.2018 Angers Angers 0-1 HT 0-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR1
03.03.2018 Angers Angers 3-0 HT 1-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR1
18.11.2017 Guingamp Guingamp 1-1 HT 1-1 Angers Angers FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp
1-2
AWAY Angers
1.74 xG 1.31
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
360 Passes 336
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guingamp vs Angers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angers edged past Guingamp 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Angers made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guingamp had 51% of the ball to Angers's 49%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.74 to 1.31 — the balance of chances actually favoured Guingamp.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Guingamp and 0.83 for Angers.

What was the final score of Guingamp vs Angers?

Guingamp 1-2 Angers in the France - Ligue 2 on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Angers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 36%, draw 29%, Angers 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guingamp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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