Troyes vs Pau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Troyes v Pau — Team-Based Signals
Troyes vs Pau Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Troyes 2-2 Pau — Actual Match Statistics
Troyes and Pau finished all square at 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Troyes at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 59% to 41% in Troyes's favour, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.46 to 1.04.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Troyes had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Troyes against 0.33 for Pau.
Troyes vs Pau Result & Final Score
Troyes 2 - 2 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Troyes vs Pau Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Troyes 41%, draw 27%, Pau 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Troyes) went the other way.