Colwyn Bay 2-2 Briton Ferry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.23
Over 2.5
63%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.53
No
36%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
4.32
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
50%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
2.71
6+ Goals
8%
7.47
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.84 — our 50% vs market 45.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+0.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.6pp
64%
BTTS Yes
61%
+2.5pp
36%
BTTS No
39%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.50/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/2.01
-12% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +93% / -27%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Colwyn Bay vs Briton Ferry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colwyn Bay and Briton Ferry shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Colwyn Bay at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Colwyn Bay vs Briton Ferry?

Colwyn Bay 2-2 Briton Ferry in the Wales - Premier League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colwyn Bay vs Briton Ferry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colwyn Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Colwyn Bay 48%, draw 23%, Briton Ferry 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Colwyn Bay) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colwyn Bay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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