Haverfordwest County 1-1 Caernarfon Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.19
6+ Goals
9%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Caernarfon Town EU Bookmakers 36%
+8% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
1.43/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.67
-7% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haverfordwest County
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Caernarfon Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
18.05.2025 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 3-1 HT 2-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
29.03.2025 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-1 HT 0-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
08.02.2025 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
26.10.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-0 HT 0-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
17.08.2024 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
16.12.2023 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs Caernarfon Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haverfordwest County and Caernarfon Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Haverfordwest County at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haverfordwest County had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Haverfordwest County and 0.67 for Caernarfon Town.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Caernarfon Town?

Haverfordwest County 1-1 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Caernarfon Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 43%, draw 26%, Caernarfon Town 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Haverfordwest County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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