Haverfordwest County vs Caernarfon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Haverfordwest County v Caernarfon Town — Team-Based Signals
Haverfordwest County vs Caernarfon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Haverfordwest County
GAL
1-1
HT 0-0
Caernarfon Town
GAL
Haverfordwest County 3-1 Caernarfon Town — Actual Match Statistics
Haverfordwest County saw off Caernarfon Town 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Haverfordwest County as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Haverfordwest County had 52% of the ball to Caernarfon Town's 48%, shots finished 12-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haverfordwest County had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Haverfordwest County and 0.67 for Caernarfon Town.
What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Caernarfon Town?
Haverfordwest County 3-1 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Caernarfon Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 46%, draw 27%, Caernarfon Town 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haverfordwest County) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.