Haverfordwest County 0-0 Caernarfon Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

Haverfordwest County
0-0 HT 0-0
Caernarfon Town
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

Haverfordwest County vs Caernarfon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.34
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.54
6+ Goals
7%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 30% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Haverfordwest County v Caernarfon Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Caernarfon Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.35/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.62
-14% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.7

Haverfordwest County vs Caernarfon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haverfordwest County
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Caernarfon Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
The Meetings
17.08.2024 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
16.12.2023 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
26.08.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-1 HT 0-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
25.03.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 2-2 HT 1-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
11.02.2023 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
17.09.2022 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs Caernarfon Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haverfordwest County and Caernarfon Town fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Haverfordwest County and 1.33 for Caernarfon Town.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Caernarfon Town?

Haverfordwest County 0-0 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Caernarfon Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 40%, draw 29%, Caernarfon Town 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Haverfordwest County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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