Penybont 1-1 Bala Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.68
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.36
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
31%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.0pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penybont EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bala Town EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.79/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.91
+7% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +69%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penybont
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bala Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
02.12.2023 Penybont Penybont 0-2 HT 0-2 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
02.09.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 2-1 HT 2-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
25.03.2023 Penybont Penybont 2-2 HT 1-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
11.02.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
29.10.2022 Bala Town Bala Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Penybont Penybont GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Penybont
1-1
AWAY Bala Town
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Penybont vs Bala Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penybont and Bala Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Penybont at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Penybont had 50% of the ball to Bala Town's 50%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bala Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Penybont and 1.33 for Bala Town.

What was the final score of Penybont vs Bala Town?

Penybont 1-1 Bala Town in the Wales - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penybont vs Bala Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Penybont 50%, draw 27%, Bala Town 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Penybont), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Penybont) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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