Flint Town United 1-2 Barry Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.18
Over 2.5
44%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
19%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.3 — our 30% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
33%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
42%
+13.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
58%
-13.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.2pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Barry Town EU Bookmakers 46%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.39/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.90
+10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flint Town United
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Barry Town
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
31.08.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 3-2 HT 0-2 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
22.01.2022 Barry Town Barry Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
09.10.2021 Flint Town United Flint Town United 3-2 HT 2-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
05.12.2020 Barry Town Barry Town 6-3 HT 3-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
26.09.2020 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-1 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
POST-MATCH Flint Town United vs Barry Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barry Town squeezed past Flint Town United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Barry Town made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Barry Town led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Flint Town United and 2.40 for Barry Town.

What was the final score of Flint Town United vs Barry Town?

Flint Town United 1-2 Barry Town in the Wales - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint Town United vs Barry Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barry Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Flint Town United 34%, draw 26%, Barry Town 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barry Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barry Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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