Barry Town 3-2 Flint Town United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.18
Over 2.5
44%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
20%
2.99
6+ Goals
10%
9.13
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.27 — our 30% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.4pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.8pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
42%
+13.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
58%
-13.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.2pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barry Town EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.44/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.93
-8% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barry Town
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Flint Town United
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
22.01.2022 Barry Town Barry Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
09.10.2021 Flint Town United Flint Town United 3-2 HT 2-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
05.12.2020 Barry Town Barry Town 6-3 HT 3-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
26.09.2020 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-1 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
POST-MATCH Barry Town vs Flint Town United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barry Town nicked a narrow win over Flint Town United 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Barry Town as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Barry Town and 1.75 for Flint Town United.

What was the final score of Barry Town vs Flint Town United?

Barry Town 3-2 Flint Town United in the Wales - Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barry Town vs Flint Town United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barry Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Barry Town 43%, draw 29%, Flint Town United 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barry Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barry Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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