Bala Town 1-2 Penybont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.53
Draw
40%
3.11
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.49
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.78
6+ Goals
5%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
36%
-6.3pp
40%
Draw
29%
+11.3pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bala Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Penybont EU Bookmakers 39%
+10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.14/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.00
-12% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bala Town
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Penybont
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
02.12.2023 Penybont Penybont 0-2 HT 0-2 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
02.09.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 2-1 HT 2-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
25.03.2023 Penybont Penybont 2-2 HT 1-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
11.02.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
29.10.2022 Bala Town Bala Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Penybont Penybont GAL
14.08.2022 Penybont Penybont 2-0 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
POST-MATCH Bala Town vs Penybont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penybont nicked a narrow win over Bala Town 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (29% / 40% / 31%) promised a tight game; Penybont found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bala Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bala Town and 1.00 for Penybont.

What was the final score of Bala Town vs Penybont?

Bala Town 1-2 Penybont in the Wales - Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bala Town vs Penybont?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bala Town 29%, draw 40%, Penybont 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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