Caernarfon Town 1-1 Haverfordwest County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 8 Feb 2025

Caernarfon Town
1-1 HT 1-1
Haverfordwest County
📅08/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

Caernarfon Town vs Haverfordwest County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.71
2-3 Goals
45%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.86
6+ Goals
9%
17.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.3pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caernarfon Town v Haverfordwest County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caernarfon Town EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / +0%
1.54/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.09
+44% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.5 Yellow Cards –

Caernarfon Town vs Haverfordwest County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caernarfon Town
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Haverfordwest County
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
The Meetings
26.10.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-0 HT 0-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
17.08.2024 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
16.12.2023 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
26.08.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-1 HT 0-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
25.03.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 2-2 HT 1-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
11.02.2023 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
POST-MATCH Caernarfon Town vs Haverfordwest County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caernarfon Town and Haverfordwest County shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Haverfordwest County at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haverfordwest County led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Caernarfon Town and 1.00 for Haverfordwest County.

What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Haverfordwest County?

Caernarfon Town 1-1 Haverfordwest County in the Wales - Premier League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Haverfordwest County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 30%, draw 28%, Haverfordwest County 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Haverfordwest County), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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