Cardiff MU 2-1 Bala Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
37%
3.04
Away
22%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.81
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.71
6+ Goals
9%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 32% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.1pp
36%
Draw
29%
+7.2pp
22%
Away Win
31%
-8.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bala Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.26/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.95
-14% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +47%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff MU
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Bala Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 3-3 HT 1-1 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
07.09.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
16.03.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-1 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
03.02.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
16.12.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
19.08.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-0 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff MU
2-1
AWAY Bala Town
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cardiff MU vs Bala Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff MU edged past Bala Town 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (41% / 36% / 22%) promised a tight game; Cardiff MU found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cardiff MU had 49% of the ball to Bala Town's 51%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff MU had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cardiff MU and 0.83 for Bala Town.

What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs Bala Town?

Cardiff MU 2-1 Bala Town in the Wales - Premier League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs Bala Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff MU win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 41%, draw 36%, Bala Town 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff MU) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cardiff MU) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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