Cardiff MU 3-3 Bala Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
46%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.98
6+ Goals
7%
18.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
22%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
34%
-8.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
46%
Away Win
39%
+6.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bala Town EU Bookmakers 43%
+14% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -2%
1.35/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.05
+9% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff MU
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bala Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
16.03.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-1 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
03.02.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
16.12.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
19.08.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-0 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
22.04.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-1 HT 2-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
POST-MATCH Cardiff MU vs Bala Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff MU and Bala Town shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bala Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff MU had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cardiff MU and 0.50 for Bala Town.

What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs Bala Town?

Cardiff MU 3-3 Bala Town in the Wales - Premier League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs Bala Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bala Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 25%, draw 29%, Bala Town 46%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bala Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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