Briton Ferry 0-1 Caernarfon Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
44%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.63
Over 2.5
60%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.14
2-3 Goals
42%
2.08
4-5 Goals
29%
2.56
6+ Goals
10%
5.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+6.6pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-7.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.0pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Caernarfon Town EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Briton Ferry
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Caernarfon Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
14.09.2024 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 3-2 HT 2-1 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GAL
POST-MATCH Briton Ferry vs Caernarfon Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caernarfon Town edged past Briton Ferry 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Caernarfon Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Briton Ferry vs Caernarfon Town?

Briton Ferry 0-1 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Briton Ferry vs Caernarfon Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caernarfon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Briton Ferry 33%, draw 23%, Caernarfon Town 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caernarfon Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caernarfon Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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