Penybont 3-1 Flint Town United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
7.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
72%
-6.8pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.2pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penybont EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
2.22/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/3.13
-18% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -21%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
488 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penybont
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Flint Town United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
28.09.2024 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-1 HT 0-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
01.10.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-1 HT 1-1 Penybont Penybont GAL
27.08.2022 Penybont Penybont 2-1 HT 0-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
18.04.2022 Penybont Penybont 0-3 HT 0-3 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
26.03.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-0 HT 0-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
26.02.2022 Penybont Penybont 1-1 HT 1-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
POST-MATCH Penybont vs Flint Town United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penybont got the better of Flint Town United 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Penybont as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Penybont and 1.17 for Flint Town United.

What was the final score of Penybont vs Flint Town United?

Penybont 3-1 Flint Town United in the Wales - Premier League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penybont vs Flint Town United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Penybont 66%, draw 20%, Flint Town United 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penybont), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Penybont) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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