Newtown 1-1 Barry Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.32 — our 25% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.0pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newtown EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Barry Town EU Bookmakers 43%
-14% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +8%
1.11/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.87
-15% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newtown
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Barry Town
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
7 Corners 8
15.10.2024 Newtown Newtown 2-4 HT 2-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
26.08.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Newtown Newtown GAL
06.01.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
16.09.2023 Newtown Newtown 2-0 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
04.12.2021 Newtown Newtown 2-1 HT 0-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
02.10.2021 Barry Town Barry Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Newtown Newtown GAL
POST-MATCH Newtown vs Barry Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newtown and Barry Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newtown had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Newtown and 1.67 for Barry Town.

What was the final score of Newtown vs Barry Town?

Newtown 1-1 Barry Town in the Wales - Premier League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newtown vs Barry Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barry Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Newtown 31%, draw 29%, Barry Town 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barry Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barry Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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