Connahs Quay 0-1 Briton Ferry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.56
6+ Goals
13%
6.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-8.5pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.6pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 19%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.80/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/1.96
-12% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +128% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Connahs Quay
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Briton Ferry
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-1 HT 2-0 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GAL
31.08.2024 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 1-5 HT 1-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
POST-MATCH Connahs Quay vs Briton Ferry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Briton Ferry nicked a narrow win over Connahs Quay 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Connahs Quay at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Connahs Quay and 1.00 for Briton Ferry.

What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Briton Ferry?

Connahs Quay 0-1 Briton Ferry in the Wales - Premier League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Briton Ferry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 56%, draw 20%, Briton Ferry 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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