Penybont vs Connahs Quay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penybont v Connahs Quay — Team-Based Signals
Penybont vs Connahs Quay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 2-0
Penybont
GAL
0-0
HT 0-0
Penybont
GAL
1-1
HT 0-0
Connahs Quay
GAL
Connahs Quay nicked a narrow win over Penybont 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Penybont at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Penybont and 1.00 for Connahs Quay.
What was the final score of Penybont vs Connahs Quay?
Penybont 0-1 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penybont vs Connahs Quay?
Before kick-off our model rated a Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Penybont 48%, draw 29%, Connahs Quay 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Penybont) went the other way.