Ansan Greeners 0-1 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.69
4-5 Goals
20%
3.93
6+ Goals
7%
18.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 34% vs market 30.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+5.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.21/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.01
-9% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
339 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.5 Crosses 10.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansan Greeners
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Hwaseong
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
465 Passes 316
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2025 Hwaseong Hwaseong 0-0 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
29.03.2025 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 3-3 HT 1-2 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOR2
29.03.2023 Hwaseong Hwaseong 2-3 HT 0-1 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ansan Greeners
0-1
AWAY Hwaseong
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
442 Passes 309
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ansan Greeners vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong edged past Ansan Greeners 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Hwaseong found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ansan Greeners had 57% of the ball to Hwaseong's 43%, shots finished 15-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ansan Greeners had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ansan Greeners and 1.67 for Hwaseong.

What was the final score of Ansan Greeners vs Hwaseong?

Ansan Greeners 0-1 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansan Greeners vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ansan Greeners win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ansan Greeners 37%, draw 26%, Hwaseong 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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