Incheon United 1-1 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.81
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.66
6+ Goals
10%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 31% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 28%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
1.34/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.52
-12% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
19.4 Crosses 18.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
527 Passes 245
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
13.07.2025 Incheon United Incheon United 2-1 HT 1-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
10.05.2025 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-3 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
1-1
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
442 Passes 211
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United and Asan Mugunghwa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Incheon United at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Incheon United had 64% of the ball to Asan Mugunghwa's 36%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Incheon United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Incheon United and 0.50 for Asan Mugunghwa.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Incheon United 1-1 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 49%, draw 26%, Asan Mugunghwa 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Incheon United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Incheon United) ✓ Under 2.5
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