Busan I Park 2-2 Cheongju FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.13
No
48%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.69
4-5 Goals
20%
4.21
6+ Goals
9%
21.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.0pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.7pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
43%
+8.7pp
48%
BTTS No
57%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheongju FC EU Bookmakers 21%
-20% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.41/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.72
-20% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.4 Crosses 12.7
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cheongju FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
311 Passes 412
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2025 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-2 HT 1-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
11.05.2025 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
29.10.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-1 HT 0-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
29.07.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-2 HT 0-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
15.05.2024 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
26.11.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-1 HT 0-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
2-2
AWAY Cheongju FC
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
405 Passes 342
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Cheongju FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park and Cheongju FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Busan I Park at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Busan I Park had 55% of the ball to Cheongju FC's 45%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheongju FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Busan I Park and 1.00 for Cheongju FC.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Cheongju FC?

Busan I Park 2-2 Cheongju FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Cheongju FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 56%, draw 20%, Cheongju FC 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Busan I Park), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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