Dugopolje 2-1 Dubrava Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
36%
3.28
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.71
Over 2.5
37%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Dugopolje win — 38%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-9.0pp
36%
Draw
27%
+8.7pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
55%
+8.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
45%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.7pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +19%
1.27/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.23
-1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dugopolje
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Dugopolje Dugopolje 2-1 HT 1-1 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
02.03.2025 Dugopolje Dugopolje 2-0 HT 0-0 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
05.10.2024 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb 2-0 HT 2-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
28.03.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 0-0 HT 0-0 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
18.11.2023 Dugopolje Dugopolje 1-2 HT 0-0 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
POST-MATCH Dugopolje vs Dubrava Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dugopolje squeezed past Dubrava Zagreb 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 36% / 26% — and on the day Dugopolje made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dugopolje and 1.00 for Dubrava Zagreb.

What was the final score of Dugopolje vs Dubrava Zagreb?

Dugopolje 2-1 Dubrava Zagreb in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dugopolje vs Dubrava Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dugopolje win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dugopolje 38%, draw 36%, Dubrava Zagreb 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dugopolje), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dugopolje) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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