FK Riteriai 2-1 FK Dainava Alytus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.8pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Riteriai EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 32%
-65% / -65% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.52
-100% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Riteriai
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2025 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 0-2 HT 0-2 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
26.04.2025 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-1 HT 1-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LITA
22.09.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
16.07.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 1-3 HT 1-3 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
13.05.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 5-0 HT 1-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
15.03.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Riteriai
2-1
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Riteriai vs FK Dainava Alytus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Riteriai squeezed past FK Dainava Alytus 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FK Riteriai as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FK Riteriai had 45% of the ball to FK Dainava Alytus's 55%, shots finished 7-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Dainava Alytus led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FK Riteriai and 1.83 for FK Dainava Alytus.

What was the final score of FK Riteriai vs FK Dainava Alytus?

FK Riteriai 2-1 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Riteriai vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Riteriai win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FK Riteriai 41%, draw 31%, FK Dainava Alytus 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Riteriai), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Riteriai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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