Banga Gargzdai 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
59%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
15%
+4.2pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.6pp
59%
Away Win
63%
-3.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.2pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 67%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +1%
1.25/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.98
+26% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -11%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
227 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-2 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
27.04.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
19.10.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 HT 1-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
18.09.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITK
26.07.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
24.04.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-3 HT 0-2 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banga Gargzdai
0-0
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 29
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai and Kauno Zalgiris fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kauno Zalgiris at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Banga Gargzdai had 37% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris's 63%, shots finished 9-29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banga Gargzdai had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 0.67 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Banga Gargzdai 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 20%, draw 21%, Kauno Zalgiris 59%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LITA More Lithuania - 1st Division
30 Aug 2025
18:00 FK Riteriai vs FK Dainava Alytus Analysis →
19:00 Suduva vs Hegelmann Litauen Analysis →