Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
62%
-10.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 19%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.04/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.65
-45% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
460 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITK
26.07.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
24.04.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-3 HT 0-2 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
02.03.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
07.10.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 1-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
18.07.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
1-1
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris and Banga Gargzdai couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kauno Zalgiris at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 61% of the ball to Banga Gargzdai's 39%, shots finished 17-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banga Gargzdai led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 1.33 for Banga Gargzdai.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga Gargzdai?

Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 52%, draw 25%, Banga Gargzdai 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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