TransINVEST Vilnius 3-2 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
24.04.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 1-2 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
03.03.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-3 HT 1-1 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
3-2
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
POST-MATCH TransINVEST Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransINVEST Vilnius squeezed past Hegelmann Litauen 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day TransINVEST Vilnius made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, TransINVEST Vilnius had 41% of the ball to Hegelmann Litauen's 59%, shots finished 18-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for TransINVEST Vilnius and 2.00 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of TransINVEST Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen?

TransINVEST Vilnius 3-2 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransINVEST Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split TransINVEST Vilnius 33%, draw 29%, Hegelmann Litauen 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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