Banga Gargzdai 0-2 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 30 Jun 2025

📅30/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
6.35
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
54%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
13%
+8.4pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.2pp
54%
Away Win
67%
-12.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 71%
+13% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.23/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.89
+52% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -2%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
240 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
19.10.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 HT 1-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
18.09.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITK
26.07.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
24.04.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-3 HT 0-2 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
02.03.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banga Gargzdai
0-2
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris got the better of Banga Gargzdai 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Banga Gargzdai had 42% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris's 58%, shots finished 7-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banga Gargzdai had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 0.50 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Banga Gargzdai 0-2 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 30/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 21%, draw 25%, Kauno Zalgiris 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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