Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-12.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+9.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 20%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.61/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.59
-67% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 HT 1-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
18.09.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITK
26.07.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
24.04.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-3 HT 0-2 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
02.03.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
07.10.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 1-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
0-1
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai edged past Kauno Zalgiris 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kauno Zalgiris at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 59% of the ball to Banga Gargzdai's 41%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banga Gargzdai led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 1.33 for Banga Gargzdai.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga Gargzdai?

Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 47%, draw 27%, Banga Gargzdai 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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