Suduva 4-0 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒18:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
47%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
47%
Away Win
48%
-1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.5pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suduva EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 52%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.39/0.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.18
-75% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
239 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suduva
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 HT 2-1 Suduva Suduva LITA
10.08.2024 Suduva Suduva 0-1 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
15.06.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 3-2 HT 1-2 Suduva Suduva LIT1
13.04.2024 Suduva Suduva 0-1 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
02.09.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-0 HT 1-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
02.07.2023 Suduva Suduva 0-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
POST-MATCH Suduva vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suduva cruised past Hegelmann Litauen 4-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hegelmann Litauen at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Suduva and 1.67 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of Suduva vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Suduva 4-0 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suduva vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Suduva 28%, draw 25%, Hegelmann Litauen 47%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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