Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 Suduva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Suduva EU Bookmakers 29%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.11/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.00
-6% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Suduva
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Suduva Suduva 0-1 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
15.06.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 3-2 HT 1-2 Suduva Suduva LIT1
13.04.2024 Suduva Suduva 0-1 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
02.09.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-0 HT 1-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
02.07.2023 Suduva Suduva 0-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
28.04.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 6-0 HT 3-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
2-1
AWAY Suduva
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen squeezed past Suduva 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hegelmann Litauen as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hegelmann Litauen had 54% of the ball to Suduva's 46%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 0.33 for Suduva.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva?

Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 Suduva in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 43%, draw 26%, Suduva 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LITA More Lithuania - 1st Division
2 Nov 2024
14:00 FA Siauliai vs Dziugas Telsiai Analysis →
18:00 Banga Gargzdai vs TransINVEST Vilnius Analysis →