Banga Gargzdai 1-1 TransINVEST Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.74/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.00
+50% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
208 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
3W-0D-1L
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 0-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
15.06.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-0 HT 1-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
13.04.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 0-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
16.08.2023 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 2-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITK
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs TransINVEST Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai and TransINVEST Vilnius shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Banga Gargzdai had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 0.50 for TransINVEST Vilnius.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Banga Gargzdai 1-1 TransINVEST Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an TransINVEST Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 34%, draw 27%, TransINVEST Vilnius 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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