Suduva 2-1 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.71
Over 2.5
54%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.9pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
55%
-8.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
45%
+8.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suduva EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.11/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.18
-8% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suduva
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-2 HT 0-1 Suduva Suduva LITA
27.04.2025 Suduva Suduva 4-0 HT 4-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
02.11.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 HT 2-1 Suduva Suduva LITA
10.08.2024 Suduva Suduva 0-1 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
15.06.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 3-2 HT 1-2 Suduva Suduva LIT1
13.04.2024 Suduva Suduva 0-1 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
POST-MATCH Suduva vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suduva squeezed past Hegelmann Litauen 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Suduva as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Suduva and 1.17 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of Suduva vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Suduva 2-1 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suduva vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suduva win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Suduva 43%, draw 22%, Hegelmann Litauen 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suduva), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Suduva) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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