El Gounah 1-1 Masr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
31%
2.66
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.73
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
7.28
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+6.5pp
31%
Draw
34%
-3.6pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Gounah EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Masr EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +20%
0.93/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.84
-3% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +101%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
249 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
18.2 Crosses 16.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Gounah
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Masr
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.85 xG 1.52
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
185 Passes 313
63% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2025 Masr 1-2 HT 0-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
31.10.2024 El Gounah El Gounah 0-0 HT 0-0 Masr MSR
22.04.2024 Masr 3-0 HT 3-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
27.09.2023 El Gounah El Gounah 0-1 HT 0-0 Masr MSR
22.08.2020 El Gounah El Gounah 0-1 HT 0-0 Masr MSR
03.12.2019 El Gounah El Gounah 0-0 HT 0-0 Masr MSRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Gounah
1-1
AWAY Masr
0.49 xG 0.62
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 4
187 Passes 365
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 10
9 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH El Gounah vs Masr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Gounah and Masr couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, El Gounah had 38% of the ball to Masr's 62%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 0.49 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Masr led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for El Gounah and 1.00 for Masr.

What was the final score of El Gounah vs Masr?

El Gounah 1-1 Masr in the Egypt - Premier League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Gounah vs Masr?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Gounah win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split El Gounah 35%, draw 31%, Masr 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (El Gounah), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (El Gounah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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